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The Application of Linear Regression in Forecasting Retail Demand — Przegląd piekarski i cukierniczy 2021-12
The article addresses the problem of predicting retail demand for bakery products in order to improve production planning and reduce losses. The author shows that this issue belongs to the field of operations research and data analysis, specifically using linear regression models for forecasting. In the technical part, a mathematical regression model is presented, where demand depends on variables such as time (hour, day of the week) and weather conditions (e.g. rainfall). The model is built using historical sales data combined with external data, and implemented in tools like spreadsheets. It uses statistical methods and regression equations to estimate future demand based on observed relationships . As a result, the bakery was able to predict demand with accuracy of about 65–82%, allowing better adjustment of production and reduction of waste. The article demonstrates that quantitative methods, including linear regression in operations research, support more effective decision-making and planning in real business environments. Publication link: https://sigma-not.pl/zeszyt-6785-przeglad-piekarski-i-cukierniczy-2021-12.html